Saturday, August 30, 2014

Saturday 8/30 DEL MAR PLAY

RACE 7
1 Mile and Sixteenth (Turf)
Alw 40,000s

#7 Hog's Hollow (9-2)

This 8 year old gelding has some serious back class, but obviously had some health issues that kep him sidelined for almost a year and a half.  I think he is starting to feel a little bit like his old self after his most recent victory over the main track at Del Mar in a claiming ranks event.  Gets back on the turf today and I like his tactical speed which should allow Mike Smith to sit close in a race that I don't see a lot of speed.  Also worked last week and is protected today which are two more great signs for me.

Good Luck,
JimmyQ

Friday, August 29, 2014

Friday 8/29/14 DEL MAR PLAY

RACE 4
1 Mile (Turf)
Filly- Alw 40,000s

#4 Intoxicating Move (9-2)

I drew a line thru her last effort b/c that was the race that involved that horrific spill and basically any chance she had of winning that day, as the luke warm favorite, went out the window.  I think stretching her out is going to be just what she needs and she does look to possess a powerful late kick which is key for any turf mile race.  Nakatani jumps aboard today and does his best work on the turf.  Look for her to be coming late. 

Good Luck,
JimmyQ

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Thursday 8/28 DEL MAR PLAY OF THE DAY

RACE 3
1 MILE
Md Sp Wt 75k

#6 Noble Bird (5-2)

Horse should have won for fun last time out.  My only question is why did this horse work 4 days ago at Arlington Park unless they plan on scratching in this spot.  I don't have that answer but if he does scratch that would explain it, and that they might be eyeing some kind of stakes race at AP soon.  If he goes then I don't think we get 5-2 and I don't think he loses

Best of Luck,
JimmyQ

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Thursday 8/20/14 DEL MAR PLAY

RACE 6
5.5 Furlongs
Filly- Alw 40,000s

#2 Q' Viva (9-2)

Impressive winner last out as a QRacing play of the Day to break her maiden.  She had a very professional effort making a nice run and circling the field around the turn to win going away.  She'll need to move forward again today against tougher but she has had 2 solid drills since her victory including a 4f work in 47 seconds that was best of  62 horses on that day.  I think she is full of herself right now and the cut back in distance won't be a problem as to my eye she appears to be tactical.  I look for her to run huge in this spot.

Good Luck,
JimmyQ
@JimmyQVegas

Saturday, August 16, 2014

Saturday 8/16/14- DEL MAR PLAY FOR THE DAY

RACE 2
Filly- Alw 77,000 N1X
Turf- Mile and an Eighth

#6 Sistas Stroll  (4-1)

This filly, who only cost her connections $20,000 at a September Keeneland sale, surprised everybody a bit breaking her maiden at Churchill about 6 weeks ago at odds of 8-1.  She is the only 3 year old in the field and needs to take another step forward to get back to the winner's circle.  Trainer Tom Proctor has been patient with her and putting some nice works into her leading up to the race.  I look for her to run another BIG one today and take note she is eligible for the ship and win bonus at Del Mar.

Good Luck
JimmyQ
@JimmyQVegas

Friday, August 15, 2014

Friday 8/15/14 QRacing looking for a little extra BEER $$

RACE 5
6.5 Furlongs
OC 62k/N2X

#7 Airfoil (5-1)
Should enjoy the cutback in distance and a return to the Del Mar surface.  Bejarano stays aboard for what should be a midpack trip.  If we can get some pace up front that could set up for Bejarano to run them down in the lane.  There are some sexier horses/connections in this field who will take the money so we should get a fair price on this Vladimir Cerin trainee.

Good Luck,
JimmyQ

Thursday, August 14, 2014

Thursday 8/14/14 Hoping SWEET AS A ROSE can be Ultra Sweet Today at Del Mar

DEL MAR
RACE 6
Filly- MSW
One Mile and a Sixteenth- Turf

#6 Sweet As A Rose  (3-1)
I'm still not convinced last time she wasn't whacked across the nose in deep stretch by her rivals jockey as it looked like she was about to blow on by and break her maiden.  Anyways, on to today and with Mike Smith picking up the mount, I hope this is a confident factor in getting her to the winners circle.  In my opinion she should have broke her maiden in her last 2 efforts so I'm looking at she is a winner facing Maidens.  Here is how I'm playing her

Win Money in the 6th Race on #6
Starting a Daily Double in the 6th Race 6/3 Straight

The second horse in the double is the #3 horse Addellusion (6-1) running for the first time in the Richard Baltas barn.  First time she ran against an impossible track bias that wasn't favoring horses coming off the pace.  Today adds blinkers and stretches out.  The horse has shown she can excel on synthetic surfaces as she ran a big race 2 back at Arlington.  Good Luck and hope we're cashing all bets today

JimmyQ

Thursday, August 7, 2014

Friday 8/8/14 Crack open the BEER for Happy Hour at DEL MAR

Here is the complete 8 race breakdown for Del Mar before scratches with my top pick 3 picks listed in order of preference

RACE 1
6 Furlongs
State bred Md 50,000

#7 Player's Charm (5-2)
Has been long odds in first 3 starts and ran well in all 3.  With the drop today the pressure is on to win when expected.  Looks tough

#3 Better Luck (3-1)
Can't ignore any firster out of the Peter Miller barn.  Only paid $13,000 for the horse so certainly this horse must be working well in the AM

#2 Stormin Wild (9-2)
Showed speed going 5F and today they add blinkers so is it possible to show more speed?  If he clears the field could be tough to catch

RACE 2
6 Furlongs
Filly Md 62,500

#8 Suite One (7-2)
Broke from the rail first time when running an impressive second.  Trainer steps up in class which is always a confident sign at Del Mar

#3 Nicole Michelle (3-1)
2 starts and 2 decent efforts.  With a slight move forward today could find herself in the winners circle

#7 Birthday Song (15-1)
A nice string of 3f drills may mean this one is ready to show early speed in a race that might be looking for a pace setter.  Upset possiblity

RACE 3
6 Furlongs
Filly Clm 40,000

#8 Tough Business (7-2)
Improving filly and could have her choice of trips after drawing the outside post

#2 Natalie Paige (4-1)
First time synthetic and should like stretching back out.  Should be part of the early pace

#7 Gracie Ragazza (5-1)
If things fall apart up front this could be the one rolling late

RACE 4
One Mile and Sixteenth
Filly Clm 32,000

#3 Flashy Dame (5-1)
Looks very dangerous to me and this 5 year old mare appears to be in great form

#1 Silver Hustler (6-1)
Only second career synthetic start but a much softer spot for this effort so stands a serious chance

#9 Always a Chance (15-1)
Reclaim for the O'Neill barn 3 back so they like something for her at this level.  Tyler just missed with this one earlier in the meet at a double digit price

RACE 5
6.5 Furlongs
Filly MSW 75k

#9 Here's Bella (6-1)
Good debut effort over at Los Al and seems to be working forward for start #2.  Only ? is that Talamo was to jump on the 1 but that horse is now a scratch

#4 Keezheekoni (15-1)
Should benefit from the freshening and ran well fresh in her debut.  A return to that form and is right there in the thick of things

#2 Fashioned Lady (7-2)
Proctor/Drayden Van Dyke combo did a lot of damage at the Santa Anita meet and this one could get them rolling at Del Mar

RACE 6
6 Furlongs
State bred Filly 20k/N1X

#6 Only Josie Knows (9-2)
Canani trained filly looks ready to fire a big effort

#9 Midnight Lady (7-2)
has ran well over the Del Mar synthetic in the past and is training well leading up to the race

#1 Halo La (6-1)
A little cheap for the condition but holds some dangerous early speed. Will need to get loose to steal this one

RACE 7
5 Furlongs
Filly- Stakes "The Daisycutter Handicap"

#1 Master the Blues (4-1)
Super sharp mare who cuts back to sprinting.  Hess/Desormeaux combo has been lethal

#3 Tribal Spy (3-1)
Layed off since May but can't ignore a Tribal Rule sired horse on the synthetic

#4 Our Pure Creation (6-1)
Another layoff horse but does possess one synthetic effort that was a win at BHP by open lengths

RACE 8
One Mile and Sixteenth
Md 20,000

#7 No Dishonor (9-2)
Blinkers stay on and serious drop in class to try and win today.  Talamo stays aboard

#2 Super Reagan (5-2)
Ran too good to lose to stable mate on opening day.  Could be his day

#4 Stolen Property (6-1)
Surface switch and a drop in class for this gelding they only paid $6,000 for.  Saw something promising to keep him at a higher level up to today

Thank you all for reading and the support along the way.  It's my dream one day to make my name in the racing industry but I know that only happens with hard work and many humbling times.
Best of Luck and enjoy the Races,
JimmyQ
Follow me on Twiiter at @JimmyQVegas





Wednesday, August 6, 2014

Wednesday DEL MAR- August 6th PLAY OF THE DAY

RACE 8
6 Furlongs
Filly- Md 20,000

#10 Windy Starlite (6-1)

This doesn't appear to be the toughest group of bottom level filly maidens sprinting 6 furlongs.  Windy Starlite has only beat a total of 2 horses home in her 2 career starts but I like her for a few reasons today
  • Takes the biggest drop in the field from state bred MSW to bottom level maiden claimers
  • Cuts back in distance
  • She broke very alertly last time and showed some good natural speed without being encouraged
  • She draws outside most of the field today for the first time which should allow jockey Jorge A Vargas to be tactical and allow the early speed to set the fractions and the possiblity of making a sweeping move on the turn
  • Jockey change from Saul Arias to Vargas who is not a well known jock in Southern California but is a 19% rider YTD and 50% ITM jock. If a bigger name jock were on the horse her odds would probably be cut in half.  This definitely appears to be an upgrade
  • Baltas owns the horse which typically allows the trainer to be more aggressive and realistic with where the horse is placed b/c you're not trying to please an owner or protect a horse from being claimed for an owner
Good Luck today and hopefully we can cash this one
JimmyQ
Follow me on Twitter @JimmyQVegas
QRacing

Sunday, August 3, 2014

Sunday 8/3 DEL MAR- If at first you don't succeed TRY TRY AGAIN

RACE 9
1 MILE
Md SP Wt 75k

#5 Noble Bird (6-1)

Has a steady work tab since his last effort on June 7th and looking for him to take another step forward today.  Although trainer Mark Casse is off to what appears to be a slow start, you can't argue with 5 seconds.  Those seconds will eventually even out and his horses will start getting to the winners circle.  Stewart Elliott should know this horse well having ridden him in his last 2 races.  A little step forward and he could be graduating today

Good Luck,
JimmyQ 

Saturday, August 2, 2014

QRacing Saturday Play of the Day for DEL MAR

RACE 3
#1 IMAGE OF JOPLIN  (5-1)

Super sharp horse who takes a step up in class today but should take to the DEL MAR surface.  Best of Luck at the Races

JimmyQ

Friday, August 1, 2014

Friday at DEL MAR- August 1, 2014

RACE 5
5.5 Furlongs
F- Clm 8000

#9 Glorious Rebecca (5-2)

No big write up today but I think she's golden in this spot

JimmyQ