6 Furlongs
Filly- Md 20,000
#10 Windy Starlite (6-1)
This doesn't appear to be the toughest group of bottom level filly maidens sprinting 6 furlongs. Windy Starlite has only beat a total of 2 horses home in her 2 career starts but I like her for a few reasons today
- Takes the biggest drop in the field from state bred MSW to bottom level maiden claimers
- Cuts back in distance
- She broke very alertly last time and showed some good natural speed without being encouraged
- She draws outside most of the field today for the first time which should allow jockey Jorge A Vargas to be tactical and allow the early speed to set the fractions and the possiblity of making a sweeping move on the turn
- Jockey change from Saul Arias to Vargas who is not a well known jock in Southern California but is a 19% rider YTD and 50% ITM jock. If a bigger name jock were on the horse her odds would probably be cut in half. This definitely appears to be an upgrade
- Baltas owns the horse which typically allows the trainer to be more aggressive and realistic with where the horse is placed b/c you're not trying to please an owner or protect a horse from being claimed for an owner
JimmyQ
Follow me on Twitter @JimmyQVegas
QRacing
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